by michael.k.bilow Sun Sep 16, 2012 12:32 pm
And now, the thrilling conclusion:
Guide 5, Page 125 #6
John invites 12 friends to a dinner party, half of which are men. Exactly one man and one woman are bringing desserts. If one person from this group is selected at random, what is the probability it is a woman, OR a man who is not bringing dessert.
This is complicated probability, because we're looking at both an "and" statement and an "or" statement. Also, the "and" is hidden in this little statement: "a man who is not bringing dessert."
A man who is not bringing dessert means that the person must be a man AND must be bringing dessert. Reading over the problem, half of the 12 people at the party are men, and one of them is bringing dessert. So there are 6 - 1 = 5 men who are not bringing dessert.
In general, when we see an "or" statement, we are going to add probabilities. However, the "or" statement in probability is also tricky, because we have to be careful of double-counting overlaps. For example, if we were looking at the set of numbers between 1 and 10 that are even OR are divisible by 3, and we just added up the number of even numbers (5) and the number of numbers divisible by 3 (3), we'd get 8/10, which is incorrect. The number 6 is an element of both sets, and just by adding the probabilities together, we'd count it twice. The correct answer is the number of even numbers plus the number of numbers divisible by 3 minus the size of the overlap set (1), which gives 7/10.
Using this strategy, let's break down the sets we have. The problem asks us for the number of women OR men who are not bringing dessert. Since half the 12 people at the party are women, there are 6 of them, and we computed above that the number of men who are not bringing dessert is 5. The question that remains is: What is the size of the overlap?
For the purposes of the GRE, no one can be both a man and a woman, so there can be no possible overlap between the two sets. Thus the number of people who are women or men that are not bringing desserts is 6 + 5 - 0 = 11. The probability of selecting one of these people is 11/12.
Guide 6, Page 134 #2
A salad dressing requires oil, vinegar, and water in the ratio 2:1:3. If Oliver has 1 cup of oil, 1/3 cup of vinegar, and 2 cups of water, what is the maximum number of cups of dressing that he can mix?
This is a problem that a lot of us had to do in high school chemistry class, that the GRE has lifted and rephrased in a way that's more than a little confusing.
What's going to help us do this problem is to set it up ratios between each of the ingredients and the total amount of dressing that could be made. Looking at the ratio, we can see that 2 cups of oil, 1 cup of vinegar, and 3 cups of water will make 2+1+3=6 cups of salad dressing. So we the ratio between oil and dressing is 2:6, the ratio between vinegar and dressing is 1:6, and the ratio between water and dressing is 3:6.
Using these ratios, we can compute the total amount of dressing we can make from each of our three ingredients.
1 cup oil/x cups dressing = 2 cups oil/6 cups dressing
1/3 cup vinegar/y cups dressing = 1 cup vinegar/6 cups dressing
2 cups water/z cups dressing = 3 cups water/6 cups dressing
x, y, and z represent the greatest amount of dressing we could make by using up the entire quantity of oil, vinegar, and water, respectively. The greatest total amount of dressing we could possibly make given these ingredients will be the smallest number among x, y, and z, because that will consume the limiting resource
Solving the equations above, x = 3 cups, y = 2 cups, and z = 4 cups. y is the smallest of our three possible yields, so the answer is 2 cups. To check this, see that in 2 cups of dressing, there is 1/3 cup of vinegar, 2/3 cup oil, and 1 cup water. We have exactly 1/3 cup of vinegar, so making exactly this much dressing will leave us with no more vinegar, which means it will be impossible for us to make any more dressing.
Guide 6, Page 164 #14
A biologist analyzes the number of paramecia visible under a microscope for a collection of protozoa samples. The average number of parmecia is 8.1 per sample, and the standard deviation is 2.4. The distribution of paramecia visible across the samples is approximately normal.
Quantity A: The number of paramecia visible at the 75th percentile in the distribution of the samples.
Quantity B: 10.5
We need 2 things to solve this problem: 1) The table of values for the normal distribution [see the previous reply] and 2) The meaning of the value 10.5.
10.5 seems like a random value, but it's actually very well-chosen. 10.5 = 8.4 + 2.1, so it is exactly one standard deviation above the mean. To find out what percentile this is, let's look at our table of values:
There will be 2.5% of the data more than 2 SDs below the mean.
There will be 13.5% of the data between 1 and 2SDs below the mean.
There will be 34% of the data between 1SD below the mean and the mean itself.
There will be 34% of the data between the mean and 1SD above the mean.
Adding up all these numbers, we get that 1 SD above the mean is roughly equivalent to the 84th percentile. So we would expect to see 10.5 paramecia on the slide at the 84th percentile, and therefore we would expect to see between 8.4 and 10.5 paramecia at the 75th percentile. The correct answer is B.
Guide 6, Page 170 #6
The frequency distribution of student scores is shown below: How many of the scores are above the class average?
64: 1
70: 2
72: 1
79: 4
83: 4
85: 2
90: 3
94: 2
95: 1
The first thing we absolutely must do on this problem is compute the average. The solution advocates the use of the M+/MR functions that are available on the calculator, but I would strongly advise against using them unless you've already practiced using them in school.
I don't mind spending a minute or more on this problem just being very careful with my computation, so I don't make an easy math error.
If you add up the total number of scores, you'll see there are 20 students in the class. Adding up the scores is a bit more complicated, and more prone to careless errors, so the first thing I would do is find out how many points were derived from each different score, by multiplying each score by the number of students who attained that score. That gives me this list:
64 x 1 = 64
70 x 2 = 140
72 x 1 = 72
79 x 4 = 316
83 x 4 = 332
85 x 2 = 170
90 x 3 = 270
94 x 2 = 188
95 x 1 = 95
I much prefer to write out answers on my scratch paper like this, and then add all the numbers up on the calculator, instead of messing around with calculator functions that I was never trained to use. Both techniques will yield 1,647 as the sum of the scores, I use my way because I know that I can do this process robotically without making mistakes. Writing out intermediate answers like I've done here also allows me to check my work as I'm going through the problem. The average score is then 82.35, and we have 4 + 2 + 3 + 2 + 1 = 12 scores that are above the average.
Guide 6, Page 171 #10
Asset Amount Invested Expected Return
Stock X $40 10%
Stock Y $40 8%
Stock Z $20 15%
Quantity A: The percent return an investor would expect for investing in the above stocks
Quantity B: 10.5%
The reason we use .4, .4, and .2, is because that corresponds to the fraction of the total investment in stock X ($40/$100), stock Y ($40/$100), and stock Z ($20/$100), respectively. These are the weights of our weighted average. 40% of our total return wll be the return of stock X, 40% will be the return of stock Y, and 20% will be the return of stock Z. That gives us .4 * 10% + .4 * 8% + .2 * 15% = 4% + 3.2% + 3% = 10.2%. This is less than 10.5%, so the answer is B.
Another way to do this problem is to compute the expected return for each stock, and then divide by the total investment. The expected return from stock X is $40 * 10% = $4, the expected return from stock Y is $40 * 8% = $3.2, and the expected return from stock Z is $20 * 15% = $3. Thus the total dollar value we expect to be returned is $10.2. Our investment was $40 + $40 + $20 = $100, so our expected return is $10.2/$100 = 10.2%.
Guide 5, Page 173 # 20
A pomegranate grower packages pomegranates in 10-pound and 20-pound boxes. If the grower fills more than twice as many 20-pound boxes as 10-pound boxes, which of the following could be the percentage of pomegranates, by weight, that are packaged in 10-pound boxes?
A) 15%
B) 20%
C) 25%
D) 40%
E) 60%
Before we do any math with this problem, let's try to reason are way to some good numbers to pick.
The problem tells us that there are more than 2 times as many 20-pound boxes as 10-pound boxes, so let's find out what happens when there are exactly 2 times as many 20-pound boxes as 10-pound boxes.
Let's say there are 2x 20 pound boxes and 1*x 10-pound box. Then we'd have 2x*20 + 1x*10 = 50x pounds of pomegranates in total, and the 10 pound boxes would make up 10x/50x * 100% = 20% of the total amount.
What does 20% represent? Well, it will be the maximum percent of the weight that we can have from 10-pound boxes. That eliminates all the answers but A and B. Can we have exactly 20%? No! The problem tells us that there are going to be more than two times as many 20-pound boxes as 10-pound boxes, so we're always going to have strictly less than 20% of our total weight in 10-pound boxes. We can eliminate B, leaving the correct answer, A.
There's also a dirty trick that solves this problem without doing any math at all; if you can make a shipment that has 25% of its weight coming from 10-pound boxes, then you can make any percentage that is less than 25%, by adding more 20-pound boxes. Therefore, the only possible way that there could be one answer for this problem is the smallest possible percentage.
Guide 6, Page 182 #5
A set of integers consists of 2,3,5,7,11,12,and x. If x increases by 1, the median of the set stays unchanged. However, if x decreases by 1, the median of the set also decreases by 1. What is the value of x?
This is a very hard problem, and it requires a lot of reasoning to figure out the value for x.
Let's ignore x for a second. We know that the median only cares about the middle value of the set, so let's see where the middle is without x. We have 6 numbers in our set, plus x, so the middle two values that we know are 5 and 7. Let's split the set up at 5 and 7, and check the different cases.
1) x < 5
2) 5 < x < 7
3) x > 7
4) x = 5
5) x = 7
1) x < 5:
If x < 5, then the median value will be 5, since 2, 3, and x will be smaller than 5 and 7, 11, and 12 will be larger. The problem says that if x decreases by 1, the median decreases by 1, but this will not happen in our case, because if x < 5 means that x -1 < 5. We can reject this range of values.
2) 5 < x < 7:
If 5 < x < 7, then the median value of the set is x, because 2,3,5 < x and x < 7,11,12. We know that if x increases by 1, the value of the median is unchanged, but there's no way that can be true because x < 7. If x = 6.5, for example, the new value of x (7.5) will no longer be the median, but the median will still increase to 7. We can reject this range of values.
3) x > 7
If x > 7, then the median value of the set is 7, because 2,3,5 < 7 and 7 < 11, 12, x. If x decreases by 1, the median may decrease--for example, if x = 7.2, the new median will be 6.2, but then the median has only decreased by 7 - (6.2) = .8. If we pick a value for x > 8, then x-1 > 7, and the median will remain unchanged at 7 when we subtract 1.
4) If x = 5, then the median is 5, but if x increases by 1, then the new median of the set will be 6. This contradicts the problem, which says that the median is unchanged when we add 1 to x.
5) If you're extra perceptive, you might have noticed that when we picked a number close to 7 in part (3), we got nearly all the behavior we wanted. Let's try 7 itself. If x = 7, the set is {2,3,5,7,7,11,12}, which has median value 7. If x decreases by 1, the set becomes {2,3,5,6,7,11,12}, and the median value will be 6 = 7 - 1, as the problem dictates. If x increases by 1, the set becomes {2,3,5,7,8,11,12} which has median 7, which is unchanged as dictated by the problem. x = 7 is the correct answer.
Guide 5, Page 183 #8
John is to select a committee of 5 individuals from among a group of 5 candidates. The committee will have a president, a Vice President, and two treasurers. How many different committees can John select from the 5 candidates?
This is a really, really challenging combinatorics problem, and the solution on page 189 is worth reading a few times.
Let me give you two alternate ways of doing this problem.
For the first way, let's select the people in order.
If we start by selecting the president, we have will have 5 choices for a person.
Once we've chosen a president, there will be 4 choices of vice president.
Now we have 3 people left and need to choose 2 treasurers. This is just the number of 2-person combinations we can take out of 3 people, which will be equal to 3!/(2!1!) = 3.
Multiplying our number of options together, we have 5 * 4 * 3 = 60 total different committees.
Another way to do this problem is to set up an anagram table. Out of 5 people, we want 1 President (P), 1 Vice President (V), 2 Treasurers (T), and 1 person who has no job (N). Asking how many committees we can make is the same question as asking how many distinct words we can make out of the letters PVTTN. Using the formula for the number of distinct words given on pages 105-106, we get 5!/(2!1!1!1!) = 60.
Okay, that's it for right now. I'll be back with more solutions later.
Keep studying!