Since this is a weaken question, the first stop is the core!
- PREMISE: [easily angered] correlated with [perm. high blood pressure]
[perm. high blood pressure] correlated with [heart disease]
CONCLUSION: [psych. factors] can CAUSE [heart disease]
The good news is that this is a classic causation-correlation flaw. The bad news is that there are three parts and some particularly sticky answer choices.
The author is making a whole host of assumptions here. In order to make this claim of causation work, he'd need to be assuming that [easily angered] CAUSES [perm. high blood pressure] AND that [perm. high blood pressure] CAUSES [heart disease]. So, to weaken this argument, we can weaken either one of those assumed causation links.
The most common ways that the LSAT weakens causation claims is to show that instead of A causing B it's actually:
- 1) reversed: B causes A
2) centrally caused: C (new thing) causes both A and B
3) completely coincidental
We can use these standard attacks on *either* of the causation links being assumed. (E) is a slam dunk - a new thing [physiological factors] causes both [easily angered] AND [perm. high blood pressure]. Notice the perfect language reflection in (E) on the description of the groups. This damages the causal claim between [easily angered] and [perm. high blood pressure] by showing a central cause, and therefore damages the whole causal chain of the conclusion.
Unfortunately, the fact that either of the causal links being assumed can be attacked makes a few of the incorrect answers look incredibly tempting. Remember, though, that selecting an incorrect answer requires TWO WRONG MOVES: 1) accepting the incorrect answer and 2) rejecting the correct answer. While two of the answer choices are very sticky, the correct answer is extremely straight-forward, and lines up precisely with a common causal attack.
Let's tackle the two beasts:
INCORRECT ANSWER (B)
Why it's tempting
At first glance, this answer appears to damage the first causal link by reversing it. If we could show that [perm. high blood pressure] actually caused [easily angered] then we damage the entire causal chain of the conclusion.
Why it's wrong
Unfortunately, (B) doesn't actually do that. First, notice that this doesn't simply say that perm high blood pressure causes whatever. It says that medication for HBP causes whatever. Now, we might think that [perm. high blood pressure] causes [medication], but we don't have any information about how many people with [perm. high blood pressure] are taking this medication. What if it's only a few people?! What if no one takes it? (Compare this to PT40-S1-Q17, where a similar reversal showed that the medications referred to were commonly used)
The fact that this answer only applies to the subset of people taking medication AND we have no idea how large that subset is makes it suspect and less useful.
The bigger issue is that the medication "affects the moods". What does that mean?! Does it mean it causes people to become quick to anger? I suppose it's possible, but it's also just as possible that the medication always causes people to become way more chill. Or maniacally happy. Who knows?
This answer choice aspires to reverse the first causal link, but it just can't quite do the job.
INCORRECT ANSWER (D)
Why it's tempting
At first glance, this appears to just straight up reverse the causal link claimed in the conclusion. If would could directly reverse it and say that [heart disease] CAUSES [easily angered], that would totes weaken the conclusion!
Why it's wrong
Unfortunately, just like (B), this answer doesn't actually do that. Once again, we are dealing with a mere subset of the group that has [heart disease] - those who DISCOVER it. How many people that have heart disease actually discover it? What if it's only a small percentage? I need something to let me know this concept even applies to a meaningful portion of my [heart disease] peeps.
Additionally, just like (B) again, the thing the [discovery] causes doesn't quite line up: is "more easily frustrated" the same as "easily ANGERED"? I get frustrated all the time without being 'angry'. And I get angry without being 'frustrated'. They are fundamentally two different things, though they can sometimes overlap.
How much of the frustration caused by the heart-disease-discovery is anger-frustration? How much of the anger that we know correlates with heart disease is anger-frustration? We don't know! I can't tell if this reverses the causal link without knowing how much overlap there is!
As a final, practical/strategic note on (D): It would be a bit unusual for the LSAT to go to all the trouble of creating a three-part correlation chain only to have the correct answer ignore the middle bit and just straight up reverse the conclusion linkage.
The remaining two answer choices are not nearly as soul-crushing:
(A) Who cares about recovery? We just care about the causal link between [easily angered] and [heart disease].
(C) We're not concerned with those who have tranquil personalities - we need to know about people who are easily angered.
This is a beast of a problem, so please don't hesitate to ask questions! I hope this helps!
#officialexplanation