GMAT Percentiles Update
Last week, GMAC updated its percentiles for GMAT scores. The organization does this once a year to smooth out any differences in the testing pool.
What do I mean by “differences?” The demographics of the people taking the exam change over time. In particular, over the last ten years or so, GMAC has seen a huge increase in the number of non-United-States-based students taking the test. A majority of these students speak English as a second (or third!) language; a majority also have a better grounding in quantitative skills than the average U.S.-educated student. These differences lead to changes in the data over time.
Scaled Scores vs. Percentiles
GMAT results are reported using various “scaled scores.” We receive a 2-digit score for quant, a separate 2-digit score for verbal, a Q+V-combined 3-digit score, and two more separate scores for the essay and IR sections.
Think of these scaled scores as “skill levels.” They reflect a specific, measurable level of ability. Here’s the interesting thing: the skills needed to reach a certain level do not change over time. A quant score of 45 today reflects the same skill level as a quant score of 45 earned ten or even twenty years ago.
What does change over time is the percentile ranking associated with that score. A percentile ranking reflects how much better you did than a certain percentage of the test-taking population. For example, if you score in the 75th percentile, then you scored better than 75% of the people taking the test—not just that day, or that week, but for the past couple of years (or whatever timeframe is designated for that test).
Imagine that you give a math test to a bunch of 10-year-olds. The scoring algorithm is very simple: if you get a question right, you get one point. You then gather all of the scores and figure out percentile rankings for that group. Let’s say that a certain score (let’s call it 5) represents the 50th percentile. A student who scores 5 earned a better score than 50% of her peers.
Then you take that exact test and give it to a bunch of 14-year-olds. They’re a lot better at math. The same score of 5 might represent only the 25th percentile for this new group, because more of these students have better math skills and can answer more questions correctly. A score of 5 still means the same thing (in this case, 5 questions right), but the pool of testers has changed and so the percentile rankings change too.
This is essentially what happens with the GMAT over time as well. If more people who are good at math start taking the test, then that score of 45 (which represents a certain, fixed level of skill) will drop in the percentile rankings because more people will be capable of performing at that level or higher.
We’ve seen especially big demographic changes on the GMAT over the last 5 to 10 years. In 2006, a quant score of 45 was rated the 78th percentile. Someone scoring at that level had better quant skills than 78% of the people taking the exam around that time.
Today, that same skill level of 45 rates the 66th percentile. This does not mean that someone scoring a 45 today is worse at math than someone with the same score in 2006; rather, the two students are equally good. Instead, a greater percentage of the population taking the test today has stronger math skills.
You might be thinking: oh, great. So that means I have to do even better at math. Actually, the opposite is (sort of) true. Keep reading.
This Year’s Trends
The Second Level of Learning to Take the GMAT
You already know how to learn—you’ve been learning all your life. The problem is that the way you learn best for school is often not the best way of learning to take the GMAT. Read more
Paranoia Runs Deep, Into Your Heart It Will Creep
I know what Statement 2 is telling me; it’s saying ˜Become a carpenter!’
Why is this question here? Why am I here? When’s the civil service exam? Garbage men still have a union. . .
Have you lived that movie? Paranoia is only human and the old saying is true: Just because you’re paranoid doesn’t mean they’re not out to get you. Paranoia is a primal reaction, developed to help protect humans from animals with sharp, pointy teeth. Unfortunately, it is not helpful when one is facing questions with sharp, pointy teeth. Even though the GMAT is out to get you. Failing to control your paranoia is a hidden reason for underperforming on the actual exam.
On this blog, I and others have discussed many factors crucial for success: foundation skills, strategies, timing, precision, and so forth. And it’s like I say about L.A.—everything you ever read [here] about it is true. However, after honing these skills, after achieving mastery, too many test takers succumb to their paranoia and thus revert when taking the actual exam, especially for the first time. Even 99th percentile skills will crumble if undermined by irrational panic and the results will not be gratifying. (Have you ever watched the Chicago Cubs play a post season series?) To succeed, folks must understand the difference between dispassionate, objective analysis—I’ve never gotten a combinatrics question right in life, why do I think I’ll have a divine inspiration today?—and irrelevant fear—They’re going to tattoo a scarlet L on my forehead. Just as folks plan question and timing strategies, they must develop tools to banish their internally generated negative visualizations.
How do you tell the difference? Objective analysis responds to the stimuli on the monitor. Paranoia is a response to internal doubts. (Notice how this is parallel to the nature of the exam—search for the answer on the screen, not in the opinions in your head.) Sometimes, after you’ve read a question twice (everyone has a sinking feeling the first time), you hear yourself singing, I’ve got the ˜I don’t know where I’m going but I’m going nowhere in a hurry’ blues. That’s the truth, not paranoia. Bail out. As one of my acting coaches used to say, Only schizophrenics don’t react to the reality around them. Conversely, paranoia is when your thoughts of impending disaster revolve around your supposed shortcomings rather than the material on the screen. As I’ve said before, if while taking the exam you find yourself thinking about how big a dumb ass you are, check the question—if it doesn’t read, Which of the following best describes how big a dumb ass you are?, you’re thinking about the wrong thing. That is paranoia. No kidding—you knew that.
Well then, why do people recognize the difference between analysis and paranoia but still succumb to the latter? Because they try to do the impossible. They try not to have thoughts of failure. That’s impossible—you can’t override human nature. I have feelings of paranoia, even though I’ve always scored in the 99th percentile. I still have them”even though I don’t really care about my score anymore. Instead, you have to recognize irrationality in yourself and laugh it off. I say to myself, Save some of that craziness for menopause. Then I giggle, read the question again, and really listen to the words. And if I still don’t get it, I say, Screw them if they can’t take a joke. And bail out.
Maybe some of you can’t make jokes to yourself during the exam because you’re worried about your entire future. That’s part of the problem—if a chunk (or all) of your mind is thinking about things other than the words on the monitor, it will lower your score. It’s the difference between worrying about being the hero or the goat and just seeing the ball and hitting the ball. Feelings of failure while taking the exam are like stage fright. That’s what stage fright is—standing up there thinking you look like an idiot. You say, No, it’s much different—they give me a piece of paper that says I’m an idiot. No. Really. It’s the same. So, I’ve got another suggestion for you, if you didn’t like the first one.
WWSD* (What Would Stacey Do)?
I sat down to think about a topic and suddenly realized that I’m writing my 201st GMAT article! How do I have anything left to write about?!?
The GMAT is actually a pretty fascinating topic (in my opinion, at least!). I have to give a big shout-out to all of my students (class, tutoring, and forums!) because you guys have inspired most of my articles. I just think about what my students have been struggling with lately and, boom, I’ve got a topic.
A fellow teacher, though, is the inspiration for this particular article. We were teaching a 9-session course together recently and he asked me how I always had an article to recommend when a student had a question on any particular topic. I keep a list of every article I’ve written, so I sent it to my colleague not really thinking about how very long that list is, or how unhelpful it is to be handed something that contains a couple of hundred titles. : )
Sure enough, he replied, Um, yeah this is great. So, which ones do you think are the most important?
Point taken. There are too many”nobody’s going to read all 200”so which ones should you read? Where should you start?
What would I do if I were about to start my studies?
We’ll start today with the highest-level stuff: what we’re really trying to do here and how to approach studying in general. Next time, we’ll take a look at more nitty-gritty details. Also, I’m going to limit the list to just my own articles”but you shouldn’t limit yourself in this way! Obviously there are a lot of great study resources out there.
The one article Everyone Should Read
I’ve Got Two Weeks…
I recently tutored a student “ let’s call her Jane “ who came to me two weeks before her test. Here’s the discussion we had:
Jane: Right now, I’m doing well on the verbal section, consistently scoring in the 80th to 90th percentile on my practice tests. However, my math isn’t as good “ the highest I’ve scored is 48th percentile. I got a 630 on my most recent practice test, but I’d really like to score a 720. My GMAT date is two weeks from today.
Ryan: Why a 720?
Jane: I don’t know, I just heard that’s what you need to get into a top school.
Ryan: Well, let’s assume that you score in the 85th percentile on the verbal section, an average performance for you. To get a 720, you’d need to hit the 90th percentile on the quant section. Did you know that?
Jane: OH MY GOD NO! WHAT AM I GOING TO DO?
The Master Resource List for Critical Reasoning
Did you know that you can attend the first session of any of our online or in-person GMAT courses absolutely free? We’re not kidding! Check out our upcoming courses here.
Which Critical Reasoning question type drives you crazy? Boldface? Find the Assumption? Inference?
I’ve put together what I’m calling the Master Resource List for Critical Reasoning. A couple of disclaimers. First, this list includes only free resources, no paid ones. There are a lot of good resources out there that cost some money—they’re just not on this list!
Second, this list for Critical Reasoning is limited to my own articles. I’m not trying to claim that only my articles are good enough to make such a list—far from it. I’m most familiar with my own articles, so that’s what I’m using. (And, okay, I will admit that I think the Manhattan Prep Critical Reasoning process is the best one out there. But I’m biased. ?) Read more
Dead Man’s Hand — A Holistic Guide To GMAT Scoring, Part Duh
Many a true word is said in jest.—I don’t know, but I heard it from my mother.
When I was a little boy, I didn’t want to be a fireman when I grew up. I wanted to be a riverboat gambler. Unfortunately, I didn’t because of a bad upbringing—utility stocks were too risky for my father. . .I do play poker and blackjack some though.
And I don’t try to fill inside straights. On the other hand, I don’t play baccarat because I don’t understand the rules well enough. The same principles apply to the GMAT. The first part of this series—-Heart of Darkness—A Holistic Guide to GMAT Scoring —- highlights why test takers don’t score as well as they should because they don’t understand the rules of the game and thus often try to fill inside straights. And, like a Greek tragedy, that post ends by lamenting how even test takers who know how to play baccarat are corrupted by the siren song of the ticking clock. Yes, the clock.
Folks fail to understand that all their good work will be undone if they do not finish the sections in good order. Leaving the last five blank will lower your score by as much as sixty points. Roughly speaking, doing so in both sections will magically turn a 660 into a 550. And you must not only finish, but also finish in good order. If you blind guess the last five in each section, with average karma, your score will still drop sixty points. Run the assessment reports on your practice exams—if your score is lower than the average difficulty of the questions that you missed, you have timing problems, even if you are finishing the sections.
How can you avoid this penalty? Well, the easiest way is to have an angel on your shoulder and always guess right. However, if you can’t count on that angel full time, you have to control the clock. In the first half of a section, the CAT computer is roughly approximating your ability level. Thus, what is unforgiveable there is missing questions that you know how to do. But test takers misunderstand—that is NOT the same as getting them ALL right. If I take a GMAT, I’ll get ten of the first fifteen quants correct. Maybe eleven. Or maybe nine. It doesn’t matter. For me, after about the fourth one, they are all 800 level questions and, as part one discussed, you only need to be about 50% accurate at the score level that you want. Trying to get them all right is a trap. First off, as I implied a second ago, even if you are scoring 790, the computer will give you problems that you don’t know how to do. So it’s hopeless on the face of it. Equally importantly, attempting to do so uses up too much time. The Catch-22 here is that you must answer those that you know correctly without disproportionally using the time. Or you’ll turn your 660 into a 550. What is the solution to this dialectic? The envelope, please. . .
4 Kinds of Questions to Review
What’s the difference between a real GMAT and a practice one? On the real GMAT, you’re finished after three and a half hours, give or take. But while you are preparing for the GMAT, finishing a practice test is much different than being finished with it. As I’ve written about before, practice tests are great assessment tools but not necessarily great learning tools. Practice tests tell you what you would likely score on the real GMAT if you answered 37 quant and 41 verbal questions with the same level of aptitude that you had on the questions you just saw. But if you want to see your GMAT score improve, you’re going to have to spend some time reviewing what you did, how you did it, and how you could do it better. To help you on that quest to get better, here are four kinds of questions that you can use to help improve your score.
1) Questions You Got Wrong
This one is the obvious one- if you want to get better at the GMAT, you need to find questions that you got wrong and learn how to get them right. But this isn’t as simple as finding an explanation online and memorizing it. Studying for the GMAT is more than just trying to read and memorize a bunch of facts- it’s about changing the way that your brain thinks about how to manipulate an equation or dissect an argument. And what better way for your brain to learn how to tackle a challenge than to give your brain more time to do so. In the middle of a test, your brain is rushed. You might have had to give up on the question halfway through or guessed on it immediately to save yourself time. But when you give your brain more time to discover that A-HA! moment, your brain is much more likely to recognize what to do the next time you see a similar hurdle. After you spend some time trying to solve it on your own, feel free to search for an explanation or a better way of solving a problem. However, you have to make sure that the explanation you read is something that you can do in your own head or your own paper come test day.
GMAT Challenge Problem Showdown: June 3, 2013

We invite you to test your GMAT knowledge for a chance to win! Each week, we will post a new Challenge Problem for you to attempt. If you submit the correct answer, you will be entered into that week’s drawing for a free Manhattan GMAT Prep item. Tell your friends to get out their scrap paper and start solving!
Here is this week’s problem:
An insect is located at one corner (point A) on the surface of a rectangular solid that measures 3 x 4 x 5 inches, as shown in the diagram.
Note: Figure is not drawn to scale.If the insect crawls along the surface of the rectangular solid to the opposite corner (point B), what is the shortest possible length, in inches, of the insect’s path from point A to point B?
Housekeeping: Issues With Blog Registration / Commenting
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We apologize for any inconvenience.
Ryan: Why a 720?